As with other
highly capital-intensive investments in which government intervenes for
the public good (infrastructure in general and energy in particular),
government initiatives often lay the seeds for future development. Such
initiatives often include incentives in the form of funded studies, matching
grants, revolving loans, university research and clear-cut initiatives.
The incentives attract attention, prompt action and encourage investment.
One such Department of Energy initiative of particular interest is signaling
the beginning of the next investment cycle in nuclear power, the Nuclear
Power 2010 Initiative.
Explicit government support
and encouragement joins other positive developments regarding nuclear
energy: the design certification of advanced reactors; new generation
technologies; the recognition that baseload generation - such as nuclear
generation - dampens price volatility; increased public acceptance; and
the recognition that reduction of greenhouse gas emissions is the natural
outcome of the use of nuclear energy.
Nuclear Market
Conditions
Nuclear energy plays
a special role in the generation of electricity in the United States.
At almost 20 per cent of the country's installed generation capacity,
nuclear's 103 plants are major sources of power, particularly baseload
power. As with all fuels, nuclear power exhibits a mix of financial and
technical characteristics: high capital costs, high but intermittent labor
costs, low fuel costs, low cost of generation, high reliability and high
utilization. At the same time, there is more emotion attached to nuclear
power, both by its adherents and its opponents, than any other fuel source,
including coal.
The Wind has
Shifted on Nuclear
What has changed to
make nuclear energy an acceptable choice?
Several elements are allied
to make new nuclear in the United States newly viable. These elements
include an increased awareness of the eventual need and timing for new
generating capacity; fossil fuel price volatility; clean air constraints
that discourage the use of fossil fuels; renewed and explicit government
support and DOE initiatives (particularly the Nuclear Power 2010 Initiative);
an improved, though untested, NRC licensing process; nuclear plant operational
and safety improvements over the past decade; growing public acceptance;
and an attractive base case.
The Nuclear
Power 2010 Initiative
It is worth noting
how explicit, assertive and important the Nuclear Power 2010 Initiative
is and how engaged the DOE is. In addition to the goal of commercial operation
of one nuclear plant by 2010 (which will likely be closer to 2012 given
current preliminary schedules), the Initiative has the goal of constructing
and operating 50,000 MW of new nuclear power by 2020, or the equivalent
of 50 new nuclear plants.
Two projects associated with
the Initiative focus on the key issue of site location. In association
with leading nuclear utilities, the Initiative proposes to conduct scoping
studies to determine the suitability of both private and federal sites
as potential locations for new nuclear power plants. In particular, the
studies would employ the NRC process to evaluate both 1) sites owned by
the utilities and 2) sites on DOE property at Savannah River, the Idaho
National Engineering and Environmental Laboratory, and Portsmouth, Ohio.
In addition, the DOE has offered
to share the cost of demonstrating the new regulatory process that enables
utilities to obtain combined construction/operating licenses.
A major piece of nuclear regulation
, the Price-Anderson Act, which establishes liability limits for nuclear
power plant accident, is near renewal.
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