Bruce Williamson,
president of Duke Energy International, dispelled the myth that doing
business outside the US is inherently riskier. "Risks are everywhere
and risk management tools have cross-border applications," Williamson
said. Duke Energy International will not take a minority share in a project
as they want to control their investment.
Williamson defines
Europe as 15 member states of the European Union (EU) plus Poland, Czech
Republic, Slovakia, Hungary, Norway and Switzerland that are not members
of the EU.
The European Market
is the second largest energy consumption market in the world after North
America. Its liberalization is driven by slow, but steady implementation
of the European Union Gas and Power Directives. New EU Cross-Border Energy
Trading Directives are under consideration. Natural gas consumption of
16TcF, roughly seventy percent the size of the US market, is growing at
four percent per year driven by increasing environmental sensitivities
and the trade-out of gas-fired power for aging nuclear and coal-fired
plants. Natural gas major supplies come from the North Sea, the Netherlands,
Russia and North Africa. Power consumption totals 2700 Twh, about eighty
percent the size of the US market. Growing cross-border energy trading
and arbitrage is supported by a highly developed and interconnected gas
and power transmission grid throughout the region.
According to Williamson,
DEI's primary trading office is in London, England, where the company
trades both power and gas.
From the Hague, DEI
markets the gas positions obtained in the MEGAS acquisition. The company
also has a small trading office in Milan where both gas and power in the
Italian market are traded. "Our trading position provides us market
information in a market where ninety-five percent of the gas is delivered
by SNAM", says Williamson. "It also provides us a seat at the
table to help define and influence competitive rules for the energy sector".
Williamson goes on
to say that the Australian market is the fourth largest energy consumption
market in Asia Pacific after China, Japan and South Korea. The power consumption
growth rate is four percent a year with 44 GW of installed capacity dominated
by coal, but gas generation is being used for peaking power plants. At
least 3200 MW of gas-fired generation is expected to be added in the next
decade. With new players entering the Australian market and new pipeline
capacity being built, natural gas trading and marketing is also developing.
Williamson discussed
the Central American market. "It is a small but increasingly interconnected
energy market with 6000 MW of generation fueled by a mix of bunker, diesel,
hydro and geothermal plants". He continues to note that there is
a growing cross-border power trading connection between countries with
fully competitive wholesale electric markets like ElSalvador and Guatemala.
Panama, a net exporter of inexpensive hydro power to neighboring markets,
is another player in the area. The area has had significant privatization
and new private sector greenfield builds throughout the region, with more
slated over the next two years. There is also increasing interconnection
of cross-border transmission grids, with 1125 miles of additional transmission
links planned over the next decade through the "SIEPAC" regional
transmission project.
The Northern Latin
American market is made up of Peru and Ecuador with 8000 MW of generation.
Power demand in these areas is growing at four percent per year from a
base of 27 Twh. In Ecuador, the liberalization process is in the final
stages. Generation privatizations are expected in both Peru and Ecuador
over the next two years.
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